Supporters of the Tyneside club are increasingly regarding Eddie Howe's squad as a fickle companion. When everything clicks, they can be the very entertainers, producing breathtaking exhibitions. However, on other occasions, previously reliable players like Sandro Tonali and others completely go missing.
Compounding these problems is a late-game strategy laced with a distinct streak of chaos. Ahead of their Boxing Day to Old Trafford, the statistics reveal a concerning tale: the team has dropped thirteen precious Premier League points from winning positions this term and are yet to keep a shutout in ten consecutive matches in every tournament. Securing a win at their famous stadium would constitute only their second domestic triumph on the travel this season.
On the flip side, a loss has only come on one occasion in their most recent six Premier League encounters, and despite occupying a seemingly lowly 11th place, they remain a only 6 points behind the highly-prized Champions League places. Add in an looming two-legged Carabao Cup semi-final against the reigning champions and a strong opportunity of moving on to the European Cup knockout phase, and it becomes simpler to understand the manager's guarded positivity.
“Our issues aren't limited to difficulties,” remarked the club's boss. “There are positives too. My glass is firmly half full right now. I realize everybody else could have a divergent take, but I feel we are improving.”
The puzzle persists: can this group match – or even exceed – the successes of the previous campaign's cup glory and fifth-place finish? Juggling a hectic schedule makes this difficult.
The resulting tiredness could be the reason behind the failure to uphold a superb opening 45-minute showing versus their London rivals, eventually squandering a two-goal lead to draw 2-2. Similarly, it could be the culprit for a poor display in a damaging defeat to local rivals the Black Cats, where the side looked off the pace just a short time after a tough Champions League away day.
While on-field instruction is undoubtedly Howe's strength, the relentless grind of two games a week football has radically limited crucial practice hours. This hinders the team's stylistic adaptation to operating with new striker their number nine leading the line, instead of the departed their former star. Although immensely skilled, the German forward lacks the same electric counter-attacking pace or ferocious pressing.
Indeed, the team's previously effective high press has at times failed. Fitness issues to vital component the Brazilian midfielder have exacerbated matters, while high-profile signings the Swedish winger and the English midfielder have had difficulties settling since their substantial moves.
If a switch to a back three could theoretically help the team, a severe defensive injury crisis renders that difficult. Key defenders will be missing for the next crucial matches, straining the squad's resources.
At their ferocious best, they appear almost unplayable. The problem is maintaining that fervor for the full match. The typical alternative approach of sitting back into a passive defensive shape has at times been self-destructive.
“The Chelsea match descended into chaotic at two-all,” said the manager. “But we were trying to win. We always go out to secure the three points.”
What seems required is a middle ground – with superior possession retention, a engine room adept of controlling the pace, and a sensible willingness to sometimes settle for a draw. Yet, a determination to challenge on all fronts is pushing thin player options to their limit.
It may seem sacrilegious to some, but a different strategy in the cup competitions earlier could have eased the current fixture congestion. Amid vital European and league games on the horizon, the need to carefully choose focus areas is growing ever more obvious.
The manager recognized the magnitude of the challenge remaining. “Being involved a club of this size, the pressures are big. Each game is crucial. We have work to do in the Premier League. We're in the Carabao Cup semi-finals, we want to go through in the Europe and perform in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the right direction, but we have a great deal of work to do to become the regularly successful team we envision. Our capacity to put sequences of victories has deserted us this season.
“The objective is to hit those heights we know we're able to reach. The internal belief is that the self-belief we can do that is returning. But now we have to show it. It ain't all bad currently, but the upcoming fixtures will decide a lot.”
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